Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev prediction: ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, 17 October 2026
Rafael Jodar beat Daniil Medvedev 2-0 in sets in the semifinal of the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles on Saturday 17 October 2026. The match was played on Stadium Court in Shanghai. Jodar won in straight sets.
Match recap: Rafael Jodar 2-0 Daniil Medvedev, ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, 17 October 2026
Rafael Jodar beat Daniil Medvedev 2-0 in sets in the semifinal of the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles on Saturday 17 October 2026. The match was played on Stadium Court in Shanghai. Jodar won in straight sets.
Score period by period
| Period | Rafael Jodar | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 6 | 3 |
| Set 2 | 6 | 4 |
Prediction and analysis
Key match factor
Daniil Medvedev brings the stronger ten-match record: 9 wins and 1 loss, with 18 sets won and 3 conceded. Rafael Jodar stands at 7 wins and 3 losses over his ten matches from Friday 7 August 2026 to Friday 16 October 2026, with 15 sets won and 10 conceded. Both arrive on four straight wins.
Our prediction
Daniil Medvedev is the slight favourite for Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev, Saturday 17 October 2026.
Medvedev has won 9 of his last 10 matches and conceded only 3 sets in that run. Jodar has won 7 of 10, dropping 10 sets along the way. Their last five read identically, W-W-W-W-L, and each won his most recent match 2 sets to 1. The set record tilts this semifinal towards an away win for Medvedev.
Who is favoured for Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev?
Daniil Medvedev holds a slight edge for Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev, built on 9 wins in 10 matches and only 3 sets conceded.
When and where Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev is played
Rafael Jodar and Daniil Medvedev meet in the Semifinal of the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles on Saturday 17 October 2026. The match is played on Stadium Court. It is neutral ground for both players. The winner moves on to the final.
Key facts
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Competition | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| Round | Semifinal |
| Date | 17 October 2026 |
| Kick-off | 12:00 (UK time) |
| Venue | Stadium Court |
| City | Shanghai |
| Neutral ground | Yes |
Recent form: Rafael Jodar and Daniil Medvedev
Jodar's figures cover 10 matches between Friday 7 August 2026 and Friday 16 October 2026, while Medvedev's cover his ten most recent results, between Monday 28 September 2026 and Friday 16 October 2026.
Jodar has won 7 and lost 3 of 10 matches, winning 15 sets and losing 10, and comes into the semifinal on four wins in a row. His record is 4 wins from 6 at home and 3 from 4 away, though home and away do not apply here; his most recent result was a 2 sets to 1 win over Casper Ruud in the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles.
7W 0D 3L in 10 games1.5 scored · 1.0 conceded per gameHome 4W-0D-2L · Away 3W-0D-1L
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2026 | Casper Ruud | Home | 2-1 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 14/10/2026 | Botic Van de Zandschulp | Away | 2-1 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 12/10/2026 | Jiri Lehecka | Away | 2-1 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 10/10/2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | Away | 2-1 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 01/10/2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Away | 0-2 | L | ATP Tokyo, Japan Men Singles |
| 19/08/2026 | Flavio Cobolli | Home | 1-2 | L | ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles |
| 17/08/2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles |
| 12/08/2026 | Brandon Nakashima | Home | 0-2 | L | ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles |
| 11/08/2026 | Arthur Fils | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles |
| 07/08/2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles |
Medvedev has won 9 and lost 1 of 10 matches, winning 18 sets and losing 3, and is also on four wins in a row. His record is 9 wins from 9 at home and 0 from 1 away, though home and away do not apply here; his most recent result was a 2 sets to 1 win over Tommy Paul in the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles.
9W 0D 1L in 10 games1.8 scored · 0.3 conceded per gameHome 9W-0D-0L · Away 0W-0D-1L
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2026 | Tommy Paul | Home | 2-1 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 14/10/2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 12/10/2026 | Dalibor Svrcina | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 10/10/2026 | Jan-Lennard Struff | Home | 2-1 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 05/10/2026 | Novak Djokovic | Away | 0-1 | L | ATP Beijing, China Men Singles |
| 04/10/2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Beijing, China Men Singles |
| 03/10/2026 | Jan-Lennard Struff | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Beijing, China Men Singles |
| 02/10/2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Beijing, China Men Singles |
| 29/09/2026 | Andrey Rublev | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Hangzhou, China Men Singles |
| 28/09/2026 | Roman Safiullin | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Hangzhou, China Men Singles |
Key data
Rafael Jodar has 7 wins and 3 losses from 10 matches, with 15 sets won and 10 lost. Daniil Medvedev has 9 wins and 1 loss from 10 matches, with 18 sets won and 3 lost. Both have 12 points from their last five. Each is on four wins in a row.
What is at stake
The winner of this semifinal reaches the final of the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles. The loser is out of the tournament. There is no second chance.
Frequently asked questions
How has Rafael Jodar played before the Shanghai semifinal?
Rafael Jodar has won 7 and lost 3 of 10 matches between Friday 7 August 2026 and Friday 16 October 2026. He is on four wins in a row. His latest was a 2 sets to 1 win over Casper Ruud.
What is Daniil Medvedev's record before facing Rafael Jodar?
Daniil Medvedev has won 9 and lost 1 of his ten most recent matches, winning 18 sets and losing 3. He is on four wins in a row. His latest was a 2 sets to 1 win over Tommy Paul in Shanghai.
What does the winner of Jodar vs Medvedev reach?
The match is a Semifinal of the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, played on Stadium Court. The winner reaches the final. The loser leaves the tournament. Both players arrive having won their last four matches.
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