Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul prediction: ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, 16 October 2026

Match recap: Daniil Medvedev 2-1 Tommy Paul, ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, 16 October 2026

Daniil Medvedev beat Tommy Paul 2 sets to 1 in the quarterfinal of the ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles on Friday 16 October 2026. The match was played on Stadium Court in Shanghai. Medvedev needed three sets.

Score period by period

Prediction and analysis

Key match factor

Daniil Medvedev has won 8 of his last 10 matches, losing 2, with 16 sets won and 4 lost between Tuesday 25 August 2026 and Wednesday 14 October 2026. Tommy Paul has won 6 and lost 4 over his last 10, with 13 sets won and 10 lost between Tuesday 28 July 2026 and Wednesday 14 October 2026. Both arrive on three straight wins.

Our prediction

Daniil Medvedev is the slight favourite for Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul, Friday 16 October 2026, in the ATP Shanghai quarterfinal.

Medvedev's last 10 matches read 8 wins and 2 losses, with 16 sets won and only 4 dropped. Paul's last 10 show 6 wins and 4 losses, with 13 sets won and 10 lost. Both won their latest match 2 sets to 0, Medvedev against Stefanos Tsitsipas and Paul against Zizou Bergs. The call is a Medvedev win, with a slight edge.

Who is favoured for Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul?

Daniil Medvedev holds a slight edge for Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul on Friday 16 October 2026, built on 8 wins from his last 10 matches against 6 for Paul.

When and where Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul is played

Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul meet on Friday 16 October 2026. The match is a Quarterfinal of ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles. It is played on neutral ground, so neither player is at home.

Key facts

Recent form: Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul

The figures cover 10 matches for Daniil Medvedev between Tuesday 25 August 2026 and Wednesday 14 October 2026, and 10 matches for Tommy Paul between Tuesday 28 July 2026 and Wednesday 14 October 2026.

Daniil Medvedev won 8 and lost 2 of his 10 matches, winning 16 sets and losing 4, and arrives on three wins in a row. His latest result was a 2 sets to 0 win over Stefanos Tsitsipas at ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles.

8W 0D 2L in 10 games1.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per gameHome 8W-0D-1L · Away 0W-0D-1L

Tommy Paul won 6 and lost 4 of his 10 matches, winning 13 sets and losing 10, and arrives on three wins in a row. His latest result was a 2 sets to 0 win over Zizou Bergs at ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles.

6W 0D 4L in 10 games1.3 scored · 1.0 conceded per gameHome 4W-0D-1L · Away 2W-0D-3L

Key data

Daniil Medvedev won 8 of his 10 matches. Tommy Paul won 6 of his 10. Medvedev won 16 sets and lost 4, while Paul won 13 and lost 10. Both players arrive on three wins in a row.

What is at stake

This is a knockout Quarterfinal. The winner reaches the semifinals of ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles. The loser is out of the tournament.

Frequently asked questions

How has Daniil Medvedev played before facing Tommy Paul?

Daniil Medvedev won 8 of his 10 matches between Tuesday 25 August 2026 and Wednesday 14 October 2026. He won 16 sets and lost 4. He is on three wins in a row, the latest 2 sets to 0 against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

How has Tommy Paul played before facing Daniil Medvedev?

Tommy Paul won 6 of his 10 matches between Tuesday 28 July 2026 and Wednesday 14 October 2026. He won 13 sets and lost 10. He is on three wins in a row, the latest 2 sets to 0 against Zizou Bergs.

What happens to the winner of Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul in Shanghai?

The match is a knockout Quarterfinal of ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles. The winner goes through to the semifinals. The loser leaves the tournament. Both players come in on three wins in a row.