Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction: ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, 15 October 2026

Prediction and analysis

Key match factor

Form is the only axis, and it tilts slightly towards Arthur Gea. Across his last 10 matches, from Wednesday 29 July 2026 to Tuesday 13 October 2026, he won 9 and lost 1, taking 19 sets and dropping 7. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 8 and lost 2 over 10 matches from Wednesday 24 June 2026 to Tuesday 13 October 2026, with 18 sets won and 7 lost.

Our prediction

Arthur Gea holds a slight edge as favourite for Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Gea arrives on a 4-match winning streak, most recently beating Jakub Mensik 2 sets to 0 in Shanghai. His 10-match record reads 9 wins and 1 loss, with 19 sets won and 7 conceded. Davidovich Fokina is close behind at 8 wins and 2 losses, 18 sets to 7, after beating Hubert Hurkacz 2 sets to 1. The margins are narrow, so the call is a slight lean towards a Gea win.

Who is favoured for Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Arthur Gea is the slight favourite for Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, with 9 wins from his last 10 matches against 8 from 10 for his opponent.

When and where Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is played

Arthur Gea and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina play their ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles Quarterfinal on Thursday 15 October 2026. The venue is Stadium Court. It is a neutral court for both players. The match is a knockout tie.

Key facts

Recent form: Arthur Gea and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

The figures for Gea cover his matches in ATP Beijing, China Men Singles, ATP Los Cabos, Mexico Men Singles and ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, while those for Davidovich Fokina cover 10 matches between Wednesday 24 June 2026 and Tuesday 13 October 2026.

Arthur Gea won 9 of his 10 matches and lost 1, winning 19 sets and losing 7, and comes in on four wins in a row. His latest was a 2 sets to 0 win over Jakub Mensik.

9W 0D 1L in 10 games1.9 scored · 0.7 conceded per gameHome 4W-0D-0L · Away 5W-0D-1L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 8 of his 10 matches and lost 2, winning 18 sets and losing 7, with a five-result sequence of W-W-L-W-W, newest first. His latest was a 2 sets to 1 win over Hubert Hurkacz.

8W 0D 2L in 10 games1.8 scored · 0.7 conceded per gameHome 1W-0D-1L · Away 7W-0D-1L

Key data

Gea and Davidovich Fokina have each taken 12 points from their five most recent results. Gea won 9 of 10 matches. Davidovich Fokina won 8 of 10. Gea won 19 sets and lost 7, while Davidovich Fokina won 18 sets and lost 7.

What is at stake

This is a Quarterfinal of ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles. The winner reaches the semifinal. The loser is out of the tournament.

Frequently asked questions

How has Arthur Gea played before the ATP Shanghai Quarterfinal?

Arthur Gea won 9 of his 10 matches and lost 1. He won 19 sets and lost 7. He has four wins in a row, the latest a 2 sets to 0 win over Jakub Mensik in ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles.

How has Alejandro Davidovich Fokina played before facing Arthur Gea?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 8 of his 10 matches and lost 2. He won 18 sets and lost 7. His five-result sequence reads W-W-L-W-W, newest first. His latest was a 2 sets to 1 win over Hubert Hurkacz.

What happens to the winner of Gea vs Davidovich Fokina in Shanghai?

The match is a Quarterfinal of ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles. The winner moves on to the semifinal. The loser leaves the tournament. Both players arrive with 12 points from their five most recent results.