Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction: ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, 10 October 2026
Pablo Carreno Busta beat Alejandro Tabilo 2-1 at ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles on Saturday 10 October 2026. The match was played on Court 4. It took place in Shanghai.
Match recap: Alejandro Tabilo 1-2 Pablo Carreno Busta, ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles, 10 October 2026
Pablo Carreno Busta beat Alejandro Tabilo 2-1 at ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles on Saturday 10 October 2026. The match was played on Court 4. It took place in Shanghai.
Score period by period
| Period | Alejandro Tabilo | Pablo Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Set 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Set 3 | 4 | 6 |
Prediction and analysis
Key match factor
Form separates the two players most clearly. Alejandro Tabilo has won 5 and lost 5 of his last 10 matches, taking 11 sets and dropping 13, while Pablo Carreno Busta has won 3 and lost 7, taking 10 sets and dropping 15. Both have 3 points from their last five.
Our prediction
Alejandro Tabilo holds a slight edge as favourite for Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta, Saturday 10 October 2026.
Tabilo is 5 wins and 5 losses across his last 10 matches, with 11 sets won and 13 lost. Carreno Busta is 3 wins and 7 losses, with 10 sets won and 15 lost, though he beat Mariano Navone 2 sets to 1 in his latest match in Shanghai. Their one meeting went to Tabilo, 2 sets to 0, on Wednesday 6 May 2026 in Rome. The call is a Tabilo win, by a slight margin.
Who is favoured for Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta?
Alejandro Tabilo is a slight favourite for Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta, with the stronger recent record of the two.
When and where Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta is played
Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta meet in the round of sixty-four of ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles on Saturday 10 October 2026. The match is on Court 4. It is a knockout match. The court is neutral ground for both players.
Key facts
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Competition | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| Round | Round of 64 |
| Date | 10 October 2026 |
| Venue | Court 4 |
| City | Shanghai |
| Neutral ground | Yes |
Recent form: Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta
Alejandro Tabilo's figures cover 10 matches between Thursday 16 July 2026 and Saturday 3 October 2026, while Pablo Carreno Busta's cover his matches in ATP Beijing, ATP Estoril, ATP Montreal, ATP Shanghai and ATP Umag, plus Doha, Dubaï and Rome.
Tabilo won 5 and lost 5 of 10 matches, taking 11 sets and dropping 13, with a sequence of L-W-L-L-L, newest first. His latest was a loss to Denis Shapovalov by 1 set to 2 at ATP Tokyo, Japan Men Singles.
5W 0D 5L in 10 games1.1 scored · 1.3 conceded per gameHome 4W-0D-2L · Away 1W-0D-3L
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2026 | Denis Shapovalov | Away | 1-2 | L | ATP Tokyo, Japan Men Singles |
| 30/09/2026 | Tommy Paul | Home | 2-0 | W | ATP Tokyo, Japan Men Singles |
| 25/09/2026 | Adrian Mannarino | Home | 0-2 | L | ATP Chengdu, China Men Singles |
| 17/08/2026 | Rafael Jodar | Away | 0-2 | L | ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles |
| 05/08/2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | Away | 0-2 | L | ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles |
| 01/08/2026 | Ben Shelton | Home | 2-1 | W | ATP Washington, USA Men Singles |
| 30/07/2026 | Terence Atmane | Away | 2-0 | W | ATP Washington, USA Men Singles |
| 27/07/2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | Home | 2-1 | W | ATP Washington, USA Men Singles |
| 22/07/2026 | Tiago Torres | Home | 0-2 | L | ATP Estoril, Portugal Men Singles |
| 16/07/2026 | Lautaro Midon | Home | 2-1 | W | ATP Bastad, Sweden Men Singles |
Carreno Busta won 3 and lost 7 of 10 matches, with 10 sets won and 15 lost, and a sequence of W-L-L-L-L, newest first. His latest was a win over Mariano Navone by 2 sets to 1 at ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles.
3W 0D 7L in 10 games1.0 scored · 1.5 conceded per gameHome 1W-0D-5L · Away 2W-0D-2L
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2026 | Mariano Navone | Away | 2-1 | W | ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles |
| 02/10/2026 | Daniil Medvedev | Away | 0-2 | L | ATP Beijing, China Men Singles |
| 04/08/2026 | Valentin Royer | Home | 1-2 | L | ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles |
| 23/07/2026 | Luca Van Assche | Away | 1-2 | L | ATP Estoril, Portugal Men Singles |
| 15/07/2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Home | 1-2 | L | ATP Umag, Croatia Men Singles |
| 14/07/2026 | Matej Dodig | Away | 2-0 | W | ATP Umag, Croatia Men Singles |
| 06/05/2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | Home | 0-2 | L | Rome, Italie, Simple Messieurs |
| 25/02/2026 | Jiri Lehecka | Home | 0-2 | L | Dubaï, EAU, Simple Messieurs |
| 24/02/2026 | Denis Shapovalov | Home | 2-0 | W | Dubaï, EAU, Simple Messieurs |
| 17/02/2026 | Quentin Halys | Home | 1-2 | L | Doha, Qatar, Simple Messieurs |
Head-to-head between Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta
Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta have met once. Tabilo won that match. It came on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at Rome, Italie, Simple Messieurs, at BNP Paribas Arena. The score was 2 sets to 0 for Tabilo.
| Date | Competition | Team | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | Rome, Italie, Simple Messieurs | Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno Busta | BNP Paribas Arena | 2-0 | Alejandro Tabilo |
Key data
Tabilo has 5 wins and 5 losses in 10 matches. Carreno Busta has 3 wins and 7 losses in 10 matches. Each player took 3 points from his five most recent results. Their one meeting finished 2 sets to 0 to Tabilo.
What is at stake
This is a knockout match. The winner reaches the next round of ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles. The loser is out of the tournament.
Frequently asked questions
What is Alejandro Tabilo's form before facing Pablo Carreno Busta?
Alejandro Tabilo won 5 and lost 5 of 10 matches. He took 11 sets and dropped 13. His five-result sequence reads L-W-L-L-L, newest first. His latest match was a 1 set to 2 loss to Denis Shapovalov at ATP Tokyo.
How has Pablo Carreno Busta played before meeting Alejandro Tabilo?
Pablo Carreno Busta won 3 and lost 7 of 10 matches. He won 10 sets and lost 15. His sequence reads W-L-L-L-L, newest first. His latest match was a 2 sets to 1 win over Mariano Navone at ATP Shanghai.
What is the head-to-head between Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta?
The two players have met once. Tabilo won. That match was played on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at Rome, Italie, Simple Messieurs, at BNP Paribas Arena, and finished 2 sets to 0 in his favour.
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